Ang Best Market Predictions Solution ay isang award category sa loob ng BeInCrypto Institutional 100—isang taunang research program na nagbibigay ng recognition sa pinaka-mahuhusay na institusyon sa digital asset sector, sakop ang 26 na kategorya at anim na pillars.
Ponder ang category na ‘to sa Pillar 1: Retail to Crypto Bridge. Nasa baba ang 15 kumpanya na napili para sa longlist—pinili ‘yan mula sa mga venue, broker at wallet integration, decentralized protocols, at mga liquidity infrastructure na tumulong sa institutional at retail participation sa event-contract at prediction markets mula April 2025 hanggang March 2026.
Sa panahon na ‘to, tumaas ang prediction market sector mula nasa $1.2 billion na monthly notional volume paakyat ng lagpas $25 billion. Babalikan ang shortlist sa May 2026, at ia-announce ang winner sa Proof of Talk sa Paris sa June 2–3, 2026.
- Longlist: 15 kumpanya na kasama ang CFTC-regulated DCM exchanges, broker at wallet event contract platforms, on-chain crypto-native prediction markets, DEX-integrated protocols, sports at reputation specialists, at mga platform na nagbibigay ng specialist liquidity para sa prediction market.
- Candidates screened: Simula sa 34 na prediction-market platforms at infrastructure providers sa institutional event-contract stack; umabot ng 15 sa longlist at may 5 pang extra firms sa outreach pool.
- Scoring (Track B): Editorial quantitative 30% | Expert Council 50% | Disclosed 20%
- Criteria assessed: Pina-factor ang market depth, liquidity, quality ng resolution, dami ng users, regulatory standing, institutional relevance, at technical infrastructure.
- Sources: Regulator filings (CFTC Designated Contract Market at Derivatives Clearing Organization registers, CFTC Futures Commission Merchant at Introducing Broker rolls, ESMA event-contract guidance, FCA temporary registrations), on-chain volume data mula Dune Analytics at DefiLlama, transparency reports ng mga kumpanya, disclosure sa exchange listing, audited na financial filing ng mga public-listed na parent companies, at mga private-market data platform tulad ng PitchBook, Tracxn, at Crunchbase, dagdag pa ang balita mula mainstream financial press.
| # | Firm | Sub-Segment | HQ | Scale Signal | Core Product | Representative Work |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polymarket | On-chain venue | New York, USA | $10B+ monthly volume $1.6B ICE commitment | On-chain event contracts | ICE data distribution agreement Pinakamalaking on-chain prediction market |
| 2 | Kalshi | CFTC-regulated DCM | New York, USA | $22B valuation $10B+ monthly volume | Event contract exchange | Unang regulated na US prediction market Nag-launch ng crypto perpetuals (2026) |
| 3 | Robinhood Predictions | Broker distribution | Menlo Park, USA | 12B+ contracts traded 26.8M funded accounts | In-app prediction hub | Pinakamalaking retail distribution layer MIAXdx acquisition (2026) |
| 4 | Coinbase Predict | Broker distribution | United States | 100M+ users Nationwide rollout (2026) | App-based event contracts | Integrated sa Kalshi backend Regulatory litigation strategy |
| 5 | Backpack Predictions | Exchange integration | United States | $363B lifetime exchange volume Unified portfolio nag-launch | Cross-margined predictions | One-account system para sa spot at perps MiFID II access via FTX EU |
| 6 | Crypto.com Derivatives | CFTC-regulated DCM | Singapore / USA | 100M+ users 40x prediction growth | Event contract exchange | White-label backend para sa maraming platforms Sports at finance markets |
| 7 | Limitless | On-chain venue | Cayman Islands | $1B+ monthly volume $2B+ cumulative | CLOB prediction markets | Pinakamabilis ang growth sa on-chain platforms BNB Chain expansion |
| 8 | Opinion | On-chain venue | BNB ecosystem | $158M TVL $14M+ naihandang fees | Decentralized predictions | Pangalawa sa pinakamalaking DeFi prediction market AI-generated na market rules |
| 9 | Fanatics Markets | Sports specialist | United States | 200M+ users (parent) Aktibo na sa 24 states | Sports prediction markets | Integration ng Crypto.com backend May plano sa multi-category expansion |
| 10 | Manifold Markets | Reputation-based | United States | Libo-libong markets Malakas ang calibration metrics | Play-money predictions | Malawak ang gamit sa research communities Open API forecasting |
| 11 | Metaculus | Reputation-based | United States | 3.5M+ predictions 20K+ na active questions | Scientific forecasting | Ginagamit ng research institutions Mataas ang calibration accuracy |
| 12 | Azuro | DEX infrastructure | Decentralized | 30+ frontend platforms Multi-chain deployment | Liquidity infrastructure | Liquidity Tree model Protocol-as-infrastructure ang design |
| 13 | Thales Markets | DEX protocol | Decentralized | Multi-chain deployment Synthetix integration | Binary options + sports | Pinakamatagal na tumatakbong Optimism protocol Overtime sports vertical |
| 14 | DraftKings Predictions | Sports specialist | United States | $14B market cap (parent) Launch sa 38 states | Event contract platform | CME settlement infrastructure Railbird acquisition |
| 15 | Raven Trading | Liquidity infrastructure | Bulgaria | Backed ng Wintermute, Coinbase Ventures $2.7M seed round | Market making, liquidity | Nagpo-provide ng institutional liquidity layer Multi-venue depth support |
Tungkol sa Listahan na Ito
Ang BeInCrypto Institutional 100 — Prediction Markets (2026 Long List) ay naghahatid ng listahan ng mga platform at infrastructure na nagpapadali para sa mga malalaking institusyon at mga ordinaryong users na sumali sa event-contract markets. Kasama dito ang mga regulated exchange, broker integrations, on-chain venues, at mga liquidity provider na sumusuporta sa market.
Paraan ng Pagpili
Sinuri ang kategoryang ito gamit ang Track B ng BIC 100 methodology: 30% galing sa quantitative metrics, 50% mula sa Expert Council scoring, at 20% mula sa mga publicly available na data.
Sinasaklaw ng assessment ang pitong criteria: market depth, liquidity, resolution quality, user base, regulatory standing, institutional relevance, at technical infrastructure.
Verinify ang data gamit ang regulatory filings, on-chain analytics platforms, at mga private-market sources tulad ng PitchBook at Tracxn. Ang mga numero ay base sa pinakabagong data na available nung nailathala ito.
